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PPR · 12-team league · 554 players
Model numbers come from player stats retrieved 2026-08-13. Roster facts — who was cut, who is on a reserve list, who changed team — come from rosters retrieved 2026-10-14. Neither is the date this page was built.
Open the Draft AssistantLive companion for draft day. Works on any platform — mark picks as they happen.
Full-season projections built from three years of volume and efficiency (weighted 56/30/14), shrunk toward the positional mean by sample size, and adjusted by each position’s age curve — live since August 2026 and validated: it improves projections at all four positions, most of all at the running back cliff.
The overall order is VOR, not total points. Comparing a quarterback to a running back on total points means nothing: the QB always wins and still goes in round 8. What matters is not how many points a player scores but how many more than whoever you can get for free at his position.
Tiers come from real gaps in VOR, not from slicing the list into twelves. If the player you want is the last of his tier, you cannot wait another round.
Rookies are ranked from draft capital, not from NFL games they have not played: the pick they went at, walk-forward against every rookie class since 2006 (Spearman 0.604 against 0.093 for a positional average). Each rookie row carries the observed 25th–median–75th range of past rookies from his exact position and round, because several of those cells split in two — the second-round quarterback averages 63 points with a median of 16.
Measured and left uncorrected: at the same projection and position, rookies from 2019–2025 went on to score 129 points against 20 for the veterans they were ranked beside (n=123 matched). The two numbers do not promise the same thing — a veteran is projected from his points per game in the games he played, stretched over 15.5 games, while a rookie prior is the observed season total of his draft-capital cell with the zeros already inside it. Neither carries a probability of being on the field, and only one of them needs to.
E26 puts it on the veteran side, and it grows with the rank: over 2019–2025 the top 50 of the board realised 17 points more than projected, ranks 101–150 39 fewer, and ranks 151–250 95 fewer — because past that point around half the veterans at a given projection do not score a point all season. Rookies in those same rows realised more than projected. Repairing it means giving the veteran number an availability term, which does not exist here yet; a multiplier picked by eye would be worse than a bias that is measured and stated.
Scoring is assumed, not synced. If your league scores differently this order is not yours — scoring changes the ranking, not just the points.
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The suggestion is best available by VOR — one explicit definition, unadjusted. What you already hold at each position is shown beside it as a count, not folded into the number: how much a third receiver is worth to you is a judgment no experiment here has validated, so the board states the facts and leaves that call to you.
| # | Player | Proj | VOR | Bust | Missed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 | |||||
| 1 | B.RobinsonMODEL LOW 177Steady | 228.3 | 97.4 | 17% | 3.0 |
| 2 | P.NacuaQUESTIONABLESteadyPsoas pain / mild groin soreness. McVay: day to day; likely misses the following week of practice | 226.6 | 94.6 | 26% | 4.3 |
| 3 | J.ChaseQUESTIONABLENO NFL TEAMSteady | 226.0 | 93.9 | 18% | 3.2 |
| 4 | J.GibbsNO NFL TEAMMODEL LOW 181 | 223.2 | 92.2 | 15% | 3.2 |
| Tier 2 | |||||
| 5 | D.AchaneNO NFL TEAMMODEL LOW 137Steady | 212.8 | 81.8 | 22% | 3.9 |
| 6 | A.St. BrownNO NFL TEAMSteady | 212.0 | 79.9 | 16% | 2.9 |
| Tier 3 | |||||
| 7 | T.McBrideMODEL LOW 152Steady | 183.5 | 71.0 | 20% | 3.3 |
| 8 | J.Smith-NjigbaMODEL LOW 173SteadyJaxon Smith-Njigba Wins Air & Ground Player Of Week 7 | 196.4 | 64.3 | 18% | 2.8 |
| 9 | C.LambSteadyMick Shots: A win is a win no matter what | 194.9 | 62.8 | 31% | 4.6 |
| Tier 4 | |||||
| 10 | J.Taylor‘Will Be the Most Obvious Indication’ — NFL Insider Reveals How Saquon Barkley’s Injury Could Influence Colts’ Plans for Jonathan Taylor Amid Trade Rumors | 187.6 | 56.7 | 21% | 4.2 |
| 11 | K.Williams | 183.1 | 52.2 | 19% | 3.6 |
| Tier 5 | |||||
| 12 | J.CookBills news: Veterans return to practice, Tre White is motivating Maxwell Hairston | 178.6 | 47.7 | 17% | 3.2 |
| 13 | C.McCaffrey8/11 QUESTIONABLEUnspecified muscle tightness; missed two practices. Shanahan: not worried, expects him for Week 1 | 177.7 | 46.8 | 32% | 5.5 |
| 14 | N.CollinsSteady | 178.6 | 46.6 | 30% | 4.6 |
| 15 | B.HallQUESTIONABLESteadyLeft the 8/17 practice early, non-contact injury reported as a groin. Aaron Glenn: "I don't think it's a big deal, but I want the evaluation" | 177.3 | 46.3 | 23% | 3.5 |
| Tier 6 | |||||
| 16 | J.JeffersonNO NFL TEAMSteady | 176.7 | 44.6 | 24% | 3.4 |
| 17 | G.PickensSteady | 176.1 | 44.1 | 22% | 3.3 |
| 18 | D.LondonSteady | 175.7 | 43.6 | 30% | 4.6 |
| 19 | J.AllenSteady | 274.9 | 42.9 | 22% | 4.1 |
| 20 | C.BrownNO NFL TEAMSteady | 172.9 | 41.9 | 22% | 3.6 |
| 21 | C.OlaveSteady | 173.8 | 41.8 | 33% | 4.9 |
| Tier 7 | |||||
| 22 | A.BrownRESERVE LISTSteady | 168.7 | 36.7 | 27% | 4.2 |
| 23 | R.Rice8/5 MONITORVolatile | 167.3 | 35.3 | 62% | 8.5 |
| 24 | Z.FlowersQUESTIONABLESteadyQuad contusion after a collision in 7-on-7; missed one practice. Jesse Minter: "he'll be Zay again soon" | 167.0 | 34.9 | 20% | 2.9 |
| 25 | B.IrvingSteady | 163.8 | 32.8 | 45% | 6.0 |
| Tier 8 | |||||
| 26 | B.Bowers | 143.2 | 30.6 | 35% | 5.4 |
| 27 | T.HigginsQUESTIONABLENO NFL TEAM | 162.3 | 30.2 | 28% | 4.9 |
| 28 | G.Wilson8/17 QUESTIONABLEDid not practice, illness. Confirmed in the official report | 161.2 | 29.1 | 46% | 6.3 |
| 29 | K.WalkerSteady | 159.1 | 28.2 | 29% | 4.3 |
| Tier 9 | |||||
| 30 | A.JeantyQUESTIONABLEAshton Jeanty: Jets' defense has a couple guys who don't want to tackle | 157.2 | 26.2 | 28% | 4.1 |
| 31 | D.Smith8/17 QUESTIONABLESteadyHamstring strain since 8/4. Limited participation 8/17 (individuals only) | 156.6 | 24.5 | 25% | 3.6 |
| 32 | J.HurtsSteadyWhy Hurts played with blood clot and what it means for NFL | 255.6 | 23.5 | 25% | 4.3 |
| 33 | L.JacksonSteadyLamar Jackson Returns to Full Practice Participation | 254.7 | 22.7 | 31% | 5.1 |
| 34 | J.WilliamsSteadyZero-100: Javonte running into history books | 153.7 | 22.7 | 21% | 3.4 |
| 35 | S.BarkleySteady | 153.5 | 22.5 | 22% | 3.8 |
| 36 | W.RobinsonSteady | 154.3 | 22.2 | 25% | 3.3 |
| 37 | M.NabersQUESTIONABLEVolatileBack from a torn ACL and meniscus (Week 4 of 2025, surgery 9/28). On 8/17 did 7-on-7 and some 11-on-11 in a non-contact jersey. Harbaugh did NOT commit to Week 1: "I'm praying for it, but we'll see" | 154.3 | 22.2 | 64% | 8.5 |
| 39 | G.KittleQUESTIONABLEUNDATED OUTAchilles recovery; PUP. Discount; Tonges deep stash PUP minimum if active | 133.8 | 21.2 | 36% | 5.7 |
| 40 | J.WilliamsNO NFL TEAMSteady | 152.4 | 20.4 | 23% | 3.6 |
| Tier 10 | |||||
| 41 | D.SwiftSteady | 149.8 | 18.8 | 22% | 3.4 |
| 42 | C.Skattebo69% PRIOR8/15 MONITORVolatile🎥 'Skattebo: The Road Back' Trailer | 149.0 | 18.0 | 60% | 8.5 |
| 43 | O.Hampton66% PRIORVolatile | 149.0 | 18.0 | 62% | 8.0 |
| 44 | T.EtienneRESERVE LISTUNDATED MONITORSteadyHe has taken most of the early-down reps in team drills, with Alvin Kamara pushed to third downs and passing situations. | 148.0 | 17.0 | 20% | 3.4 |
| 45 | L.McConkeySteady | 148.8 | 16.8 | 25% | 3.6 |
| 46 | S.LaPortaQUESTIONABLENO NFL TEAM | 128.9 | 16.4 | 42% | 6.1 |
| 47 | D.Metcalf8/15 MONITORSteady | 148.0 | 16.0 | 26% | 3.9 |
| Tier 11 | |||||
| 48 | D.AdamsInjury Updates: Rams will not open 21-day practice windows for Myles Garrett or Terrance Ferguson in Week 8; latest on Trent McDuffie, Nate Landman and Davante Adams | 146.5 | 14.4 | 24% | 4.4 |
| 49 | J.Waddle8/17 MONITORSteady | 146.1 | 14.0 | 27% | 3.8 |
| 50 | K.PittsSteadyKyle Pitts is ready for his return to Florida: 'It's always fun' | 126.5 | 13.9 | 21% | 3.1 |
| 51 | P.MahomesQUESTIONABLESteady | 245.5 | 13.4 | 31% | 4.9 |
| 52 | B.ThomasQUESTIONABLESteady | 145.5 | 13.4 | 30% | 4.2 |
| 53 | R.HarveyVolatile | 143.9 | 12.9 | 27% | 4.1 |
| 54 | C.SuttonSteadyWith focus on AFC West goal, Broncos embrace 'next-game mentality' in matchup vs. Chiefs | 144.9 | 12.8 | 19% | 3.0 |
| 55 | J.MeyersSteady | 144.3 | 12.3 | 26% | 3.6 |
| 56 | T.HendersonOUT WEEK 1Volatile | 143.1 | 12.1 | 29% | 4.1 |
| 57 | M.PittmanRESERVE LIST8/15 MONITORSteadyWhat Happened to Michael Pittman Jr. and When Will He Return? Latest on Steelers WR’s Injury and Why He’s Out for Week 7 vs. Saints in Paris | 144.1 | 12.0 | 21% | 3.0 |
| Tier 12 | |||||
| 58 | M.WilsonSteady | 142.6 | 10.5 | 23% | 3.3 |
| 60 | J.FergusonSteady | 122.9 | 10.3 | 24% | 3.7 |
| 61 | D.MooreSteady | 142.1 | 10.0 | 18% | 2.8 |
| 62 | J.HerbertSteady‘It’s Not His Fault,’ ‘The Guys Are Open’ — Justin Herbert Defends Chargers OC Mike McDaniel, Takes Blame for Offensive Woes Amid 0-6 Start | 241.4 | 9.4 | 26% | 4.3 |
| 63 | Q.Judkins | 139.7 | 8.8 | 43% | 5.6 |
| 64 | B.NixSteady | 240.4 | 8.4 | 24% | 3.9 |
| 65 | T.LawrenceSteady | 240.4 | 8.4 | 31% | 5.0 |
| 66 | K.ShakirQUESTIONABLESteady | 139.7 | 7.6 | 27% | 3.6 |
| 68 | J.Daniels8/16 MONITORWhat Commanders QB Jayden Daniels wants to improve coming out of bye | 239.3 | 7.3 | 60% | 7.8 |
| 69 | T.McLaurinCommanders Film Session: Antonio Williams is ready for more | 139.1 | 7.0 | 36% | 5.2 |
| 70 | J.AddisonNO NFL TEAM8/5 MONITORSteady | 138.9 | 6.8 | 28% | 4.2 |
| 71 | J.ReedRESERVE LIST8/11 MONITOR | 138.9 | 6.8 | 55% | 7.1 |
| 73 | B.PurdySteadyDiscussion: Who is the best team in the NFC? | 238.2 | 6.2 | 49% | 6.9 |
| 74 | T.Kraft8/9 MONITOR | 118.6 | 6.0 | 45% | 6.6 |
| 75 | J.WarrenSteady | 136.7 | 5.7 | 27% | 3.7 |
| 76 | A.PierceRESERVE LISTUNDATED OUTSteadyAnkle/PUP. Avoid at cost Return and targets | 137.2 | 5.2 | 25% | 3.7 |
| 77 | D.MayeSteady | 237.1 | 5.1 | 31% | 4.8 |
| 78 | T.McMillanQUESTIONABLE | 137.0 | 4.9 | 29% | 3.8 |
| 79 | T.TracyQUESTIONABLESteady | 135.8 | 4.9 | 32% | 4.0 |
| 80 | Q.Johnston8/12 MONITOR | 136.6 | 4.6 | 29% | 4.6 |
| 81 | D.KincaidSteady | 117.0 | 4.4 | 43% | 5.7 |
| 82 | J.Dobbins | 135.1 | 4.1 | 58% | 7.6 |
| 83 | J.BurrowNO NFL TEAM | 235.2 | 3.2 | 53% | 7.4 |
| 84 | J.LoveQUESTIONABLEHigh ankle sprain after his preseason debut; first-round rookie. LaFleur: out this week. ESPN reported the high-sprain diagnosis | 133.9 | 2.9 | — | — |
| 85 | J.PriceRESERVE LIST8/17 QUESTIONABLELower-body soreness; missed the first preseason game. Returned to practice 8/17 | 133.9 | 2.9 | — | — |
| 86 | D.SamuelSteady | 134.7 | 2.6 | 24% | 3.7 |
| 87 | C.HubbardQUESTIONABLESteadyHamstring strain. Week to week; missed the first preseason game | 133.4 | 2.5 | 28% | 4.1 |
| 88 | T.WarrenQUESTIONABLE | 115.0 | 2.4 | 33% | 4.3 |
| 89 | R.DoubsSteady | 134.5 | 2.4 | 27% | 3.9 |
| 90 | D.Goedert | 114.8 | 2.3 | 33% | 5.4 |
| 91 | R.DowdleMODEL LOW 94Steady | 132.7 | 1.7 | 23% | 3.3 |
| 92 | J.JohnsonSteady | 114.1 | 1.5 | 28% | 3.9 |
| 93 | C.WilliamsSteadyBears embrace stepping into national spotlight | 233.5 | 1.4 | 25% | 3.9 |
| 94 | M.EvansQUESTIONABLEVolatile | 133.4 | 1.3 | 44% | 6.5 |
| 95 | J.JenningsNO NFL TEAM | 132.6 | 0.5 | 27% | 4.2 |
| 96 | D.SchultzSteady | 112.8 | 0.2 | 25% | 3.3 |
| 97 | B.MayfieldSteadyBaker Mayfield: Bucs Need to Stay Ahead of the Chains vs. Falcons | 232.0 | 0.0 | 21% | 3.6 |
| 98 | C.Watson | 132.1 | 0.0 | 49% | 6.5 |
| 99 | T.SpearsSteady | 131.0 | 0.0 | 45% | 5.3 |
| 100 | C.OttonSteady | 112.6 | 0.0 | 35% | 4.4 |
| Unavailable · 4 — suspended, exempt, IR or PUP per the status layer. Numbers unchanged; sorted here by rank, not by availability. | |||||
| 38 | J.JacobsEXEMPT LIST8/11 QUESTIONABLEIngle. Still out of practice as of 8/11 | 152.2 | 21.2 | 21% | 4.0 |
| 59 | T.HillNO NFL TEAM | 142.5 | 10.4 | 56% | 7.4 |
| 67 | Z.CharbonnetRESERVE/PUP7/25 QUESTIONABLEPUP, rehabbing a late-2025 ACL tear. Macdonald: "he has done a phenomenal job". No return date | 138.3 | 7.4 | 20% | 3.4 |
| 72 | S.DiggsNO NFL TEAMSteadyCommanders vs. Eagles Wednesday injury report: Stefon Diggs held out | 138.8 | 6.7 | 32% | 4.5 |
100 of 554 shown. Tiers, counts and best available are computed over all 554 — never over what is painted.